Monday, February 05, 2007

Third Point LLC Urges Flow International (FLOW) To Sell

In a 13D filing on Flow International Corp. (Nasdaq: FLOW) Friday afternoon, Third Point LLC disclosed a 13.6% stake (5.1 million shares) in the company. The firm also disclosed a letter to the company, in response to the Company's announcement that its CEO would retire, urging that the Company be sold and that an investment bank be retained immediately to lead the sale process.

In the letter, Third Points' Daniel Loeb said, "Given our views, we were of course disappointed to see the announcement of Mr. Light's plans to retire. In light of this development, we believe that the time has come for the Company to be sold, rather than seek to continue operating independently under new leadership. Based on recent conversations with industry participants and a financial advisor, we believe a sale could be accomplished at a significant premium to the current market price. Accordingly, we urge the Board to halt the search for a new Chief Executive Officer and immediately retain an investment bank to offer the Company for sale."

Shares of Flow International were up 4.35% on Friday.

A Copy of the Letter:

Dear Sirs:

As you know, entities advised by Third Point LLC ("Third Point") are collectively the largest shareholder of Flow International Corporation ("Flow"or "the Company"), holding 13.6% of its common shares, plus warrants.

We began accumulating our position two years ago, based on our view of the fundamental strength of the Company's target market and technology, and our personal confidence in the leadership of Stephen Light as Chief Executive Officer, based on his record of success in his previous career with much larger companies, as well as his keen analytical ability and communication skills. We increased our position over the last two years primarily because he continued to meet or exceed our high expectations. At the same time, we have been concerned that the relatively small scale of the Company's operations and its public status resulted in a disproportionate amount of general and operating expenses, concerns which have been underscored by the recent financial restatements.

Given our views, we were of course disappointed to see the announcement of Mr.Light's plans to retire. In light of this development, we believe that the time has come for the Company to be sold, rather than seek to continue operating independently under new leadership. Based on recent conversations with industry participants and a financial advisor, we believe a sale could be accomplished at a significant premium to the current market price. Accordingly, we urge the Board to halt the search for a new Chief Executive Officer and immediately retain an investment bank to offer the Company for sale.

Sincerely,

Daniel S. Loeb

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Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Loeb's Third Point LLC Disappointed in Flow Int'l (FLOW) Response to His Call to Sell

In an amended 13D filing on Flow International Corp. (Nasdaq: FLOW), 13.6% holder Dan Loeb's Third Point LLC disclosed a letter sent a letter to the Board of Directors of the Company, expressing his disappointment with the response of the Company's Board of Directors to his call for the Company to be sold.

Loeb urged the Board to retain, and publicly disclose, a well recognized investment bank to lead the sale process. Loeb also reiterated his concern over the cost to the Company of its status as a public company and the Company's relatively small scale of operations.

In concluding his letter Loeb said, "At this point I am calling on the Board to retain a publicly identified and well recognized investment bank, with a clear mandate to explore strategic alternatives including a sale of the Company. I must also insist that the Company comply with best practices in corporate governance by repealing its poison pill and de-staggering the election of its Board. Do not make the mistake others have made by under-estimating my resolve in this matter. If you continue to disregard the will of the Company's owners, I will seek to replace members of the Board at the next annual meeting."

A Copy of the Letter:


Dear Flow Directors:

As you know, funds managed by Third Point LLC ("Third Point") are collectively the largest shareholder of Flow International Corporation ("Flow" or the"Company"), holding 13.6% of its common shares, plus warrants. We have been a patient and supportive shareholder. Two years ago we provided $15 million in financing in a privately negotiated transaction which enabled the Company to complete a debt restructuring. We have repeatedly waived compliance with our registration rights agreement in order to enable the Company to address accounting irregularities and complete financial statements, without extracting contractually mandated penalties. We have asked the Company to increase the trigger point for its "poison pill" so we could increase our stake. While we believed in the fundamental strength of the Company's business, we were concerned with the relatively small scale of its operations and the cost of its status as a public company.

On February 2, 2007, in the wake of the announcement of your successful CEO's plans to retire, we wrote to the Board to suggest that the time had come to retain an investment bank to offer the Company for sale, expressing the view that such a sale could be accomplished at a significant premium. We were encouraged by the response to that letter, as several independent directors and executive officers flew to New York on February 8 to meet with us, and seemed open to giving serious consideration to our suggested course of action. Since that meeting, however, we have been severely disappointed with the pace and process of the Board's follow-through, and have begun to wonder whether the directors are seriously exploring strategic alternatives or simply going through the motions.

Specifically, on February 20, Board Chair Kathryn Munro called Third Point to report that the Board had met to consider our letter and the meeting. She assured me that the views of the Company's largest shareholder would be taken very seriously, but the Board would need 3-4 weeks to determine and announce a course of action. However, when that period expired, there was no announce mentor call explaining why more time might be required. Instead, the Company announced that yet another accounting irregularity was causing a delay in announcing earnings. The Company's general counsel suggested to Third Point's general counsel that the earnings announcement would contain an update on the matters we had raised. However, when we joined the call on Friday, March 30, we heard only that the Company had retained an anonymous investment bank to conduct a "capital markets review."

I then followed up with a call directly to Ms. Munro. I suggested to her that the Company's failure to identify the investment bank would discourage inquiry that could lead to a sale. She did not offer any explanation as to why it was appropriate to avoid disclosing the name of the bank, and advised me that it would be at least another month before the Company would have any information for interested parties to review. Shortly after the call, Flow's general counsel informed Third Point's general counsel that all Flow directors other than the Board Chair were being advised not to speak to me.

By the end of my call with Ms. Munro, I had begun to wonder whether the members of Flow's Board were truly taking their fiduciary duties seriously, or were more concerned with protecting their ability to receive substantial compensation as directors. In particular, I asked Ms. Munro whether she had any other sources of income, and she conceded that she was "retired." I found this quite surprising in light of the proxy statement disclosure that describes her as "Principal of Bridge West, a technology investment company." Our subsequent investigation suggested that "Bridge West" is controlled by Ms. Munro's husband (Thomas A.Munro, former President of struggling Wireless Facilities, Inc.), and we have been unable to identify any investments it has made or even confirm that it is a functioning enterprise. The other directors who represented the Board at the February 8 meeting also appear to be retirees, for whom their compensation as directors may be a principal source of personal income. Indeed, the composition of the Board of Flow may be emblematic of the often-discussed difficulties that smaller public companies have had, particularly in the wake of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, of attracting and retaining experienced, energetic and truly disinterested directors.

At this point I am calling on the Board to retain a publicly identified and well recognized investment bank, with a clear mandate to explore strategic alternatives including a sale of the Company. I must also insist that the Company comply with best practices in corporate governance by repealing its poison pill and de-staggering the election of its Board. Do not make the mistake others have made by under-estimating my resolve in this matter. If you continue to disregard the will of the Company's owners, I will seek to replace members of the Board at the next annual meeting.

Sincerely,

Daniel S. Loeb

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Monday, April 23, 2007

Dan Loeb: Hedge Fund and Buyout King?

In an amended 13D filing on Flow International Corp. (NASDAQ: FLOW), 13.6% shareholder Dan Loeb's Third Point LLC said "we have decided that we would be prepared to make an offer, on behalf of the Third Point funds, for the purchase of the entire Company. However, in order to formulate a proposal that would maximize value for shareholders, we would need access to additional information regarding the Company and would need a manager capable of running the Company after we acquire it."

In the letter, Loeb requested that the Board waive the restrictive provisions of retiring CEO Stephen Light's employment agreement with the Company so that Mr. Light would be in a position, if he so chose, to work with them to develop a business plan and valuation upon which their bid could be based.

A Copy of the Letter:

Dear Flow Directors:

We have been considering the response of Flow International Corporation("Flow" or "the Company") to our last letter, as expressed in the Company's press release of April 6. In that release, the Board assured shareholders that it is "devoted to optimizing shareholder value" and indicated its intention to formulate a "plan for how best to optimize shareholder interests." As you know,we have expressed the view that, in light of the pending retirement of Stephen Light as CEO, and the costs of public ownership, the best way to achieve that objective is for the Company to be sold.

Upon further review, we have decided that we would be prepared to make an offer, on behalf of the Third Point funds, for the purchase of the entire Company. However, in order to formulate a proposal that would maximize value for shareholders, we would need access to additional information regarding the Company and would need a manager capable of running the Company after we acquire it. Given our tremendous confidence in Mr. Light, which we've expressed more than once, we would like to see if we could work with him to develop a business plan for a privately held Flow. Accordingly, we are asking the Board to waive the restrictive provisions of Mr. Light's employment agreement and to authorize him to engage in discussions with us, if he so chooses, so we can develop a business plan and valuation upon which our bid can be based. To be productive,we would anticipate that those discussions would require the sharing of confidential information, and would be prepared to enter into an appropriate agreement to protect that information from misuse.

As you aptly said in your April 6th press release: "[i]t would be a breach of [your] fiduciary responsibility to [your] shareholders for the Board to proceed in any one manner without a thoughtful evaluation of the business, its potential, the state of the marketplace and the Company's options." We believe that we can present to the Board an attractive option that the Board can weig hagainst the other possibilities, and we believe the Board would be remiss not to avail itself of this opportunity.

Please let us know promptly whether you are prepared to permit such a process in order to create an opportunity for the Company to maximize shareholder value.

Sincerely,

Daniel S. Loeb

Third Point LLC

Past Reports on Loeb's FLOW postion

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Friday, May 25, 2007

Ditech Networks (DITC) Holder Riley Investment Management Requests Dutch Tender Auction

In a 13D filing on Ditech Networks, Inc. (Nasdaq: DITC), 5.8% holder Riley Investment Management discloseed a letter to the company expressing its concerns about the company's performance. The firm said due to the excessive cash on the balance sheet and improved financial condition, they suggested that the company should return at least $100 million to its shareholders through a dutch tender auction at a price between $9 and $11.

The firm said if the company was unable to purchase the requisite number of shares, they suggested that the remaining cash should be returned to shareholders via a dividend. The firm also stated that it may seek representation to the Board of Directors.

A Copy of the Letter:

Dear Sirs:


Riley Investment Management has been a shareholder intermittently for the last six years and currently owns or has beneficial ownership of approximately 5.8% of Ditech’s common stock. We are writing you to express our view regarding the most efficient way to return value to your shareholders. We believe our view is prevalent in the financial community.

Since your public offering in June 1999, Ditech has accumulated losses of over $80 million. During this time the Company has spent over $110 million in stock and cash on acquisitions and invested $188 million in R & D. The current enterprise value of approximately $140 million ($114 million if you present value the Company’s N.O.L. carry forward) suggests a high degree of investor skepticism towards Ditech as a profitable investment. This skepticism has been well earned. Historically, the Company has chosen to hoard its cash, has diluted its shareholders and has consistently disappointed its investors. The fact that 3.7 million of the approximately 4.0 million shares of stock owned by Company insiders consists of options is particularly disconcerting. As investors have paid real dollars and lost real money, management and the Board have collected fees and salaries, issued options and sold stock. In particular, we believe that the $135 million in cash on the balance sheet the Company has maintained is inappropriate and detrimental to the creation of shareholder value.

However, over the last six months we have become more encouraged about Ditech’s business fundamentals and believe the Company is well positioned for consistent, strong cash flow and operating profit as its customer base increasingly diversifies. In fact, our analysis suggests that Ditech could be at an EBITDA run rate of $25 million in the next couple of quarters and possibly up to $35 million in the near future with continued customer wins (specifically a third domestic carrier that the Company has indicated it may close).

Given the Company’s excessive cash and improved financial condition, we believe that the Company would go a long way to reestablishing credibility with investors by immediately conducting a dutch tender auction and/or dividend that will result in a return of at least $100 million to shareholders. Specifically, the tender price per share should be between $9 and $11. If the Company is unable to purchase this amount of shares, then the remaining cash should be returned to shareholders via a dividend. After the tender or dividend, the Company would still be in an enviable position of having over $40 million in cash while potentially generating $20 to $35 million per year in free cash flow. We believe this is a reasonable course of action. The Company’s argument that it “needs” to have $100 million in cash on the balance sheet to market to its customer base in our opinion does not hold water. Ditech has been around now for enough years and generates enough cash that in our opinion carriers will be more than comfortable with our proposed balance sheet. In fact, one could clearly argue for a larger return of cash given our belief in the Company’s ability to generate cash going forward.

At the high end of the dutch tender auction range, the Company’s enterprise value would be $165 million. Before the April quarter, which is considered an aberration because of the Company’s international results, Ditech had been generating between $3.7 and $2.9 million in EBITDA per quarter for the last three quarters. Just annualizing those numbers results in approximately $12 million in free cash flow. Accordingly, at a tender price of $11 per share, the Company would be purchasing the shares at a free cash flow yield of 7.3%, higher than the interest rate the Company is earning on its cash. However, if our analysis proves to be correct and the Company’s free cash flow rises to $20 to 35 million, the Company would be buying the stock at a free cash flow yield of 12.1% to 21.2%, respectively—clearly a much better investment than cash. From an earnings perspective, with a self-tender, if EBITDA is $25 million, earnings per share would increase to approximately $0.63 from $0.56, and at $35 million EBITDA, earnings per share would increase to $1.02 from $0.95. From a non-GAAP perspective, which we believe is the preferable focus, this transaction would be accretive even at $16 million in EBITDA.

As stated above, we believe an EBITDA of $25 to $35 million is a reasonable projection. The Company has publicly stated that its operating model calls for operating profit of 20% to 30%. This is higher than the Company’s more recent non-GAAP profit margins of 12%. However, we believe that Ditech’s operating model is highly leveragable and that the majority of incremental gross profit will fall directly to the bottom line. Given 70% gross margins and roughly $45 million in annual cash operating expenses, it is easy to see that quarterly revenues need only approach $23 million for Ditech to garner 21% EBIT margins—not to mention $5 million in quarterly free cash flow. Accordingly, we concur that the Company’s target operating model is achievable as revenues increase, and believe further that the Company should be able to generate substantial free cash flow as Ditech’s revenue approaches $30 million per quarter.

In this regard, we believe that generating $30 million in quarterly revenues is achievable in the near future. The following sets forth our assumptions in our model for the Company’s revenue:

- $14 million quarterly revenue contribution from Verizon, the Company’s largest customer. This is reasonable considering that Verizon has been averaging $13.5 million per quarter in revenues over the last twelve months ($15 million in the most recent quarter), which is up almost 20% from the preceding 12-month average.

- $6 million quarterly revenue from the Company’s international business. Our assumption is even more conservative than the Company’s projections. Ditech’s international business has averaged $7.3 million per quarter year-to-date before its announcement that 4th quarter revenues would be approximately $2.5 million due to a delay in negotiation agreements in closing transactions. The Company has suggested that international business should bounce back in the June quarter, but our sense is that it should be closer to a $6 million revenue run rate per quarter.

- $2 million quarterly revenue from the Company’s PVP business. The Company’s PVP business has been slower than anticipated, but the Company has characterized this opportunity as having “tremendous upside” and that activity levels around this product set has been “tremendous.”

- $8 million quarterly revenue from new customers. Using existing numbers, the Company already has a $22 million run rate before any new carriers. The Company has indicated “some real optimism about being able to close the third” large, domestic wireless carrier in a recent conference call. When asked on the conference call if the new domestic customer could be as big as Verizon you said the following “…we could certainly see the opportunity ending up at that level. I’m not prognosticating that today, but we’re really excited.” Given our assumptions above, for Ditech to achieve quarterly revenues of $30 million, the new carrier would need only to generate $8 million per quarter--approximately 60% of Verizon. This seems achievable if not conservative.

Our analysis does not address operating expenses, to which we do not have detailed access. However, history has shown that when an existing long-term CEO leaves, expenses are typically reduced. We would suggest to the new CEO a full analysis of services and expenses. One example would be to replace PWC with a regional auditor. We have found this typically to reduce costs by at least 40%, which in the case of the Company would result in a savings of approximately $250,000.

It is possible that our analysis of the Company’s business is overly optimistic. Even if this were in fact the case, the Company’s decision would be simple – dividend out at least $100 million in cash in a special dividend to shareholders, representing $3 per share.

Ditech is at a critical juncture in its history. In 1999, shareholders entrusted the Company with over $75 million in cash through an IPO at $11 per share and a secondary at $51.50 per share. While insiders and VC investors took this opportunity to sell over $75 million of stock in the secondary and subsequently more through open market sales, investors have seen their shares decline 84% in eight years. Now, the Company’s fundamentals appear to be improving and the Company has the opportunity to bring on a new CEO that understands and is committed to shareholder value and is cognizant of the shareholder base. He or she must realize that the dollars on the balance sheet are those of shareholders and must not think that accepting a position at Ditech is akin to receiving carte blanche with these dollars. We believe it is time to enhance shareholder value by returning cash to your shareholders.

We look forward to discussing this possibility and our other thoughts to increase shareholder value with the Board in the near future. Moreover, we may seek representation on the Company’s Board. We have appointed directors to over 12 boards in the last three years and have had a high success rate in recognizing shareholder value through our contributions on various boards.

Sincerely,

Bryant Riley, Managing Member

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Monday, March 05, 2007

Executives In Dan Loeb's Portfolio Take Notice

Activist hedge fund manager Daniel Loeb and his Third Point LLC fund have been very aggressive recently --- targeting PDL BioPharma today, and also Acorda Therapeutics and Pogo Producing recently.

Below we take a look at the stocks in his portfolio.

The boards at any of the companies yet to be contacted by Mr. Loeb should be nervous.

Recent Loeb Activist Targets:

Acorda Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: ACOR) has 9.9% stake. Wants company sold
Flow International Corp. (Nasdaq: FLOW) has 13.6% stake. Wants and recently requested the company be sold.
Nabi Biopharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: NABI) reached agreement with the company to have its representitives on the board
PDL BioPharma Inc. (Nasdaq: PDLI) has a 7.5% stake. Urged company cut costs and not pursue additional acquisitions.
Pogo Producing Company (NYSE: PPP) has a 7.9% stake. Wants company sold in whole or pieces. Proposed six nominees to the board. (NOTE: Company announced exploration of strategic alternatives)

Loeb Large 5%+ Passive Stakes of Interest (Loeb Could Turn Activist)

FEI Co. (Nasdaq: FEIC) 6.2% stake
Martin Marietta Materials Inc. (NYSE: MLM) 6.6% stake disclosed in 13D but no demands
IHOP Corp. (NYSE: IHP) 7% stake
Ryerson Inc. (NYSE: RYI) 7.5% stake (activist target of Harbinger and Owl Creek)

More Loeb Stocks To Watch: (Loeb Could Raise Stakes and/or Turn Activist)

ASML Holding NV (ASML), Cephalon Inc. (CEPH), Ceridian Corporation (CEN), Cypress Semiconductor (CY), Dominion Resources Inc. (D) , Flamel Technologies SA (FLML), GATX Corp. (GMT), Glenayre Technologies, Inc. (GEMS), Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (HLX), Invitrogen Corp. (IVGN), Mastercard Incorporated (MA), Motorola Inc. (MOT), Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. (NBIX), NeuroMetrix Inc. (NURO), NPS Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NPSP), Pharmion Corp. (PHRM), Sepracor, Inc. (SEPR), Verigy, Ltd. (VRGY), Vulcan Materials Co. (VMC), Xenoport, Inc. (XNPT).

Other Positions:

AEP Industries Inc. (AEPI), Centennial Bank Holdings, Inc. (CBHI), Eddie Bauer Holdings, Inc. (EBHI), CBS Corp (CBS), Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG), Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. (CORE), CSX Corp (CSX), Dade Behring Holdings Inc. (DADE), Daimlerchrysler AG (DCX), Embarq Corp. (EQ) , EXCO Resources Inc. (XCO), Harrah's Entertainment Inc. (HET), ICO GLOBAL COMM CL A (ICOG), Infineon Technologies AG (IFX), Integrated Electrical Services Inc. (IESC), Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV (PHG), Leap Wireless International Inc. (LEAP), Liberty Media Interactive (LINTA), Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc. (LGND), Loral Space & Communications, Inc. (LORL), Massey Energy Co. (MEE), McDonald's Corp. (MCD), MedImmune Inc. (MEDI), Microsoft (MSFT), Molex Inc. (MOLX), NEXEN INC (NXY), NTL Inc. (NTLI) now Virgin Media, Inc. (VMED) , NYSE Group, Inc. (NYX), OSI Restaurant Partners, Inc. (OSI), Phelps Dodge Corp. (PD), PHOENIX COS INC (OTC: PNXZL), Plains Exploration & Production Co. (PXP), PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (PNC), Qimonda AG (QI), Quest Resource Corp. (QRCP), Ruddick Corp. (RDK), Salton Inc. (SFP), Sears Holdings Corporation (SHLD) shares, Union Pacific Corp. (UNP)

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Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Summary of Loeb's Third Point LLC 13F

Daniel Loeb's Third Point LLC issued their latest 13F for the quarter ended June 30, 2007:

New Stakes:
Abraxas Petroleum Corp. (AMEX: ABP) 1,207,572 shares, Aeroflex Inc. (Nasdaq: ARXX) 1,260,000 shares, Apartment Investment & Management Co. (NYSE: AIV) 755,000 shares, Applera Corp-Applied Biosystems Group (NYSE: ABI) 200,000 shares, Atmel Corp. (Nasdaq: ATML) 24,400,000 shares, BEA Systems Inc. (Nasdaq: BEAS) 9,650,000 shares, BioFuel Energy Corp. (Nasdaq: BIOF) 1,250,000 shares, CIT Group Inc. (NYSE: CIT) 750,000 shares, Citadel Broadcasting Corporation (NYSE: CDL) 4,396,163 shares, Clear Channel Communications Inc. (NYSE: CCU) 2,750,000 shares, Cypress Bioscience Inc. (Nasdaq: CYPB) 100,000 shares, Dillard's Inc. (NYSE: DDS) 1,000,000 shares, Dominion Resources Inc. (NYSE: D) 400,000 shares, Douglas Emmett Inc (NYSE: DEI) 2,750,000 shares, Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. (Nasdaq: GLRE) 800,000 shares, Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE: HLF) 1,000,000 shares, Home Solutions of America Inc. (Nasdaq: HSOA) 100,000 share PUT, ICICI Bank Ltd. (NYSE: IBN) 1,110,000 shares, Invesco Plc (NYSE: IVZ) 850,000 shares, Linn Energy, LLC (Nasdaq: LINE) 1,733,331 shares, Medis Technologies Ltd. (Nasdaq: MDTL) 100,000 shares, NuStar GP Holdings LLC (NYSE: NSH) 2,000,000 units, OM Group Inc. (NYSE: OMG) 2,050,000 shares, Post Properties Inc. (NYSE: PPS) 165,000 shares, T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: TROW) 100,000 shares PUT, Symantec Corporation (Nasdaq: SYMC) 500,000 shares, UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) 150,000 shares, United Therapeutics Corp. (Nasdaq: UTHR) 250,000 shares, Vantage Energy Services, Inc. (AMEX: VTG) 1,875,000 shares, Veeco Instruments Inc. (Nasdaq: VECO) 1,425,000 shares, Victory Acquisition Corp. (AMEX: VRY) 2,200,000 shares, Willbros Group Inc. (NYSE: WG) 1,500,000 shares
Raised Stakes: Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: ACAD) from 350,000 shares to 475,000 shares, Alkermes, Inc. (Nasdaq: ALKS) from 750,000 shares to 2,835,000 shares, ATP Oil & Gas Corp. (Nasdaq: ATPG) from 2,000,000 shares to 2,500,000 shares, Eddie Bauer Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: EBHI) from 1,200,000 shares to 1,425,000 shares, Bausch & Lomb Inc. (NYSE: BOL) from 300,000 shares to 1,605,000 shares, Candela Corp. (Nasdaq: CLZR) from 1,275,000 shares to 2,120,000 shares, Charming Shoppes Inc. (Nasdaq: CHRS) from 2,2000,000 shares to 5,250,000 shares, CSX (NYSE: CSX) from 1,300,000 shares to 2,000,000 shares, CV Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: CVTX) from 1,350,000 shares to 5,900,000 shares, Cypress Semiconductor Corporation (NYSE: CY) from 750,000 shares to 5,300,000 shares, DAIMLERCHRYSLER (NYSE: DAI) from 322,000 shares to 447,000 shares, DepoMed Inc. (Nasdaq: DEPO) from 325,000 shares to 4,735,000 shares, Flamel Technologies SA (Nasdaq: FLML) from 225,000 shares to 920,000 shares, Freedom Acquisition Holdings Inc. (NYSE: FRH) from 1,500,000 shares to 2,700,000 shares, Granite Construction Inc. (NYSE: GVA) from 1,350,000 shares to 3,500,000 shares, Infineon Technologies AG (NYSE: IFX) from 1,800,000 shares to 2,600,000 shares, Nabi Biopharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: NABI) from 5,750,000 shares to 6,890,000 shares, Norfolk Southern Corp. (NYSE: NSC) from 1,250,000 shares to 1,350,000 shares, Northern Orion Resources Inc. (AMEX: NTO) from 7,600,000 shares to 8,600,000 shares, NYSE Euronext, Inc. (NYSE: NYX) from 1,650,000 shares to 4,849,700 shares, PDL BioPharma Inc. (Nasdaq: PDLI) from 8,450,000 shares to 11,400,000 shares, Questar Corp. (NYSE: STR) from 325,000 shares to 3,500,000 shares, Synovus Financial Corp. (NYSE: SNV) from 5,500,000 shares to 7,375,000 shares, Tronox Inc. (NYSE: TRX) from 450,000 shares to 2,500,000 shares, Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP) from 500,000 shares to 700,000 shares
Lowered Stakes:
Acorda Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: ACOR) from 2,290,000 shares to 1,000,000 shares, AEP Industries Inc. (Nasdaq: AEPI) from 1,000,000 to 0, Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq: ALXN) from 400,000 shares to 0, BearingPoint (NYSE: BE) from 3,000,000 to 0, Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE: BMY) 200,000 to 0, Cephalon Inc. (Nasdaq: CEPH) from 375,000 shares to 200,000 shares, Clearwire Corporation (Nasdaq: CLWR) 150,000 shares to 0, Embarq Corp. (NYSE: EQ) from 325,000 shares to 225,000 shares, Euroseas, Ltd. (ESEA) from 262,212 shares to 0, FMC Corp. (NYSE: FMC) from 700,000 shares to 0, FEI Co. (Nasdaq: FEIC) from 2,130,000 shares to 1,950,000 shares, General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) from 1,000,000 to 0, ICO GLOBAL COMM CL A (Nasdaq: ICOG) from 4,500,000 shares to 2,245,000 shares, Invitrogen Corp. (Nasdaq: IVGN) from 800,000 shares to 750,000 shares, Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV (NYSE: PHG) from 685,000 shares to 400,000 shares, Leap Wireless International Inc. (Nasdaq: LEAP) from 750,000 shares to 575,000 shares, Martin Marietta Materials Inc. (NYSE: MLM) from 2,575,000 shares to 550,000 shares, Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE: MA) from 1,900,000 shares to 1,600,000 shares, MDS, Inc. (NYSE: MDZ) from 1,350,00 shares to 0, Molex Inc. (Nasdaq: MOLX) 475,000 shares to 181,700 shares, Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) 3,000,000 shares to 0, Neurochem Inc. (Nasdaq: NRMX) from 250,000 to 0, Neurocrine Biosciences Inc. (Nasdaq: NBIX) from 1,215,000 shares to 0, Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: ONXX) from 1,080,000 shares to 500,000 shares, Plains Exploration & Production Company (NYSE: PXP) from 2,000,000 shares to 0, QIMONDA AG (NYSE: QI) from 400,000 shares to 0 ,QUALCOMM (Nasdaq: QCOM) from 500,000 shares to 0, Ryerson Inc. (NYSE: RYI) from 1,975,000 shares to 0, SAIC, Inc. (NYSE: SAI) from 300,000 shares to 0, Sears Holdings Corporation (Nasdaq: SHLD) from 500,000 shares to 0, SunPower Corporation (Nasdaq: SPWR) from 559,800 shares to 336,800 shares, Talisman Energy Inc. (NYSE: TLM) from 3,750,000 shares to 1,000,000 shares, Temple-Inland Inc. (NYSE: TIN) from 300,000 shares to 0, Tronox Inc. (NYSE: TRX) from 900,000 shares to 0, Verigy, Ltd. (Nasdaq: VRGY) 900,000 shares to 800,000 shares
Maintained Stakes:
Ariad Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: ARIA), Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. (NYSE: BNI), CBS CORP CL B (NYSE: CBS), Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE: CMG), Coleman Cable, Inc. (Nasdaq: CCIX), Core-Mark Holding Company, Inc. (Nasdaq: CORE), Dade Behring Holdings Inc. (Nasdaq: DADE), EXCO Resources Inc. (NYSE: XCO), Flow International Corp. (Nasdaq: FLOW), Harrah's Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: ET), IHOP Corp. (NYSE: IHP), Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU), Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: LGND), Loral Space & Communications, Inc. (Nasdaq: LORL), Massey Energy Co. (NYSE: MEE), Pogo Producing Co. (NYSE: PPP)

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Wednesday, February 28, 2007

A Look at Activist Targets Following Tuesday's Sell-Off

After yesterday's dramatic sell-off we decided to put together a list of interesting activist targets that have yet to break to shareholder pressure.

Motorola, Inc. (NYSE: MOT): Carl Icahn is trying to get on the company's board of directors and wants a large stock buyback. The stock was down 3.4% yesterday and is down 0.7% this afternoon.

Flow International Corp. (Nasdaq: FLOW): Dan Loeb's Third Point LLC wants the company to be sold. The stock was down 4.8% yesterday and is up 1.2% this afternoon.

New York Times Co. (NYSE: NYT): Morgan Stanley pushed for, but failed to the get the company to end the dual class share structure. The families controlling NYT retaliated by pulling their money from Morgan brokers. The stock was down 4.06% yesterday and is down 0.3% this afternoon.

Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (Nasdaq: ENER): Coghill Capital said the Board should consider making changes to current management and enterprise structure. The stock was down 6.9% yesterday and is down 1.4% this afternoon.
CSK Auto Corp (NYSE: CAO): Karsch Capital is pushing for an immediate sale. The stock was down 2.1% yesterday and is up +0.6% this afternoon.

Cypress Semiconductor (NYSE: CY): Chapman Capital wants a reorganization. The stock was down 4.8% yesterday and is up +0.6% this afternoon.

Electro Scientific Industries Inc. (Nasdaq: ESIO): Holders Third Avenue Management and Nierenberg Investment Management want a special one-time cash dividend. The stock was down 4.7% yesterday and is down 0.4% this afternoon.
IHOP Corp. (NYSE: IHP): Not an activist target yet, but Dan Loeb's Third Point LLC has a 7% stake in the company. The stock was down 3.5% yesterday and is up +0.9% this afternoon.

Friday, January 26, 2007

Applebee's (APPB) Holder Breeden Partners Express Concerns With Bonus Eligibility Criteria

In an amended 13D filing on Applebee's International Inc. (Nasdaq: APPB), 5% holder Breeden Partners disclosed a new letter sent to the CEO of the company. In the letter the firm expresses concerns with the bonus eligibility criteria adopted by the Compensation Committee. Breeden also offered specific suggestions for improving the company’s compensation policies.

In the letter Breeden said, "Even if the Committee’s charter did not so clearly contemplate it, peer group performance comparisons should be a major part of the compensation formula for all senior officers, as they are across many well-run American businesses. However, despite having the next to worst performance of peer companies as discussed above, the top 5 officers of Applebee’s received over $30 million in total compensation2 over the period 2003-2005. The board’s willingness to award pay without performance seriously weakens the sense of urgency management should feel about the need to cure the company’s performance issues."

Breeden also said Burton Sack should resign from the Committee, saying he operates restaurants that compete with those of the company.

Breeden Partners was founded by former SEC Chairman Richard C. Breeden.

A Copy of the Letter:

Dear Mr. Conant:

I am writing to you in your capacity as Chairman of the Compensation Committee (the “Committee”) of Applebee’s International, Inc. on behalf of Breeden Partners, which owns 3.9 million Applebee’s shares, or just over 5% of the company’s outstanding shares. We wish to express our concerns with the bonus eligibility criteria adopted by the Committee, particularly the failure to utilize relative shareholder returns or other measures of competitiveness. In addition, we want to offer specific suggestions for improving the company’s compensation policies.

“In determining the long-term incentive component of CEO compensation, the Executive Compensation Committee will consider, among other matters, the Company’s performance and relative shareholder return...” Charter, Applebee’s Compensation Committee

Given that the slide in the company’s operating performance has now entered its fourth year, it is long past time to start basing senior executive compensation in significant part on “relative shareholder return,” exactly as the Committee’s charter suggests. Unfortunately, the “performance criteria” recently adopted by the Committee under Applebee’s 1999 Management and Executive Incentive Plan and the 2001 Senior Executive Bonus Plan as disclosed in the company’s Form 8-K don’t appear to measure relative performance in any area.

Unless there is detail that has not yet been disclosed, the Committee’s “performance criteria” seem vague and ineffectively targeted. The result is essentially a license to pay anything to anyone, irrespective of actual performance in the marketplace. While I understand that the Committee held back cash bonuses for 2005 on a discretionary basis, the Committee should revise its current criteria formally to put the “performance” back into “performance criteria.” At the same time, other compensation practices should also be changed to eliminate unnecessary expense and unhealthy practices.

Applebee’s Dreadful Performance Record

The starting point for evaluating Applebee’s compensation practices should be the company’s performance, which has been abysmal in recent years. As shown in the table below, during the three years ended December 1, 2006 (immediately before the Committee adopted the current performance metrics), Applebee’s was next to worst in creating total shareholder return (“TSR”) of any publicly traded casual dining company (13th out of 14 companies).

TABLE

No matter which comparison to its peers one chooses to use,1 Applebee’s shareholders have lost hundreds of millions of dollars in value compared to what they would have enjoyed had Applebee’s achieved a competitive level of performance. The Committee’s compensation scheme seems to ignore this reality.

Pay Without Performance

Even if the Committee’s charter did not so clearly contemplate it, peer group performance comparisons should be a major part of the compensation formula for all senior officers, as they are across many well-run American businesses. However, despite having the next to worst performance of peer companies as discussed above, the top 5 officers of Applebee’s received over $30 million in total compensation2 over the period 2003-2005. The board’s willingness to award pay without performance seriously weakens the sense of urgency management should feel about the need to cure the company’s performance issues.

The disastrous performance of Applebee’s share values during the past three years mirrors the steady deterioration that has been going on in Applebee’s operations. Among other important measures, same store sales, margins on company operated restaurants and return on invested capital have all fallen sharply in recent years.

TABLE

While management routinely offers various excuses for the company’s deteriorating performance, serious internal problems appear to underlie Applebee’s lack of results. These issues include:

• a fundamentally flawed growth strategy;

• ineffective leadership during several years prior to Dave Goebel becoming CEO;

• serious ongoing internal weaknesses in marketing and finance;

• poor capital allocation policies;

• excessive overhead costs;

• an ineffective board;

• poor governance practices of various types; and

• inability to make timely decisions of consequence.

The compensation issues at Applebee’s appear to reflect a broader set of problems at the top of the company. Left uncorrected, the deterioration in the company’s fundamentals will continue to cause serious and long-lasting harm to the company. In this situation, the board needs to be using every tool at its disposal, including the compensation system, to correct these problems and ignite growth.

Unhealthy Compensation Practices Encourage Business Failure

In recent years the company has followed several unhealthy compensation practices that ought to be ended.

Personal Use of Corporate Aircraft

On several occasions we have expressed our objection to management to the company’s practice of allowing Applebee’s executives to use corporate aircraft for personal use.

On 29 occasions from April 2006 through January 2007, Applebee’s corporate aircraft flew into and out of Galveston, Texas, where former CEO Lloyd Hill happens to own a beach house. The nearest Applebee’s restaurant is more than 40 miles away. Though Mr. Hill ceased to be CEO in September 2006, company planes continue the Galveston shuttle.

We do not believe that shareholder interests are served by turning corporate aircraft into flying limousines for senior executives’ personal vacations. Just as importantly, this practice is inconsistent with the wholesome “neighborhood values” that Applebee’s claims to embody as a company. I am quite certain that most Applebee’s customers would be shocked to find out that a portion of the cost of their meal goes to fly the former CEO back and forth to his beach house aboard a corporate plane.

Paying Executives’ Income Taxes with Shareholder Funds

It is bad enough that at a time of rapidly shrinking margins the company operates more aircraft than it needs for business purposes. However, the Committee also decided that Applebee’s executives should be able to take personal trips aboard Air Applebee’s as a gratuity, paying absolutely nothing in cost reimbursement for the privilege. In addition to not requiring executives to pay any of the costs for their personal travel, the Committee has taken the extraordinary step of requiring shareholders to pay the income taxes owed by the CEO and other senior executives for their aerial vacation tours.

Grossing up the income of the CEO to cover the income taxes he owes for free flights on company planes is a reprehensible practice, particularly for a company beset by excessive overhead and declining shareholder value. This policy is emblematic of the board’s insensitivity to, and disregard for, the company’s earnings, the interests of its shareholders and basic values.

These senseless practices cannot be justified by the argument your executives have made in response to our criticisms that that the aggregate cost of such waste is not too great. Beyond the fact that little things add up, principles are important irrespective of the dollar amounts. One of those principles is the fundamental importance of using shareholder funds as wisely as possible. Hopefully as the leader of a major American business you would agree that it isn’t just what you pay, but how you pay it that is important to the ethical and business tone within the company.

Turning a blind eye to egregious expenses for the CEO and other senior executives - even if they are relatively modest amounts - sends the wrong message across the Applebee’s system that unjustifiable expenses can be overlooked. A better message would be that everyone from the Chairman on down needs to identify every possible way to improve efficiency and profitability. It is our strong hope that, as conscientious directors, the Committee will terminate the tax gross-up policy forthwith, along with ending personal use of Air Applebee’s altogether. This would send a positive signal to Applebee’s executives as well as to the entire employee base that the board means business in cutting overhead and restoring growth in profitability.

The Committee’s Bonus Criteria

The performance criteria selected by the Committee cover important issues, but they don’t do so as effectively as they should. While I will briefly mention problems with each of the criteria identified in the company’s 8-K filing last month, each of these criteria could benefit from more extended discussion. We would be happy to discuss alternatives with you at any time. In the meantime, everyone would benefit from increased disclosure of the standards and benchmarks for which executives will be held accountable. Frankly we do not see how you can expect any incentive plan to be successful in creating the desired results without a clear articulation of required targets.

At the outset, it is worth noting that four of the five criteria used by the Committee overlap one another to a very significant degree. Turnover, guest preferences and traffic growth are all component parts of restaurant operating profit. Since they are already included in restaurant operating profit, the company doesn’t need to pay twice for reduced employee turnover, guest preferences and traffic growth. These criteria should be deleted altogether.

A. Employee Turnover. As a simplistic matter, it sounds sensible to reward management for reducing employee turnover, and turnover is a significant issue in any food service company. Companies will benefit if they can reduce turnover without incremental cost, though companies will not necessarily benefit if a reduction in turnover is accomplished by overpaying staff, lowering selection standards or retaining poor performers. While the public disclosure does not make clear how this factor (or, indeed, the other criteria) will be applied, it has the potential to encourage faster than necessary wage cost spirals, as well as to create a disincentive to terminate problem or unproductive employees.

B. Guest Preference Opinion Polls. Guest preference opinion polls are another inappropriate bonus factor. For three years same store sales have declined as Applebee’s management lost touch with its customer base. That is the most accurate and relevant measure of guest preferences. However, the Committee has evidently decided to base compensation in part on opinion polls concerning guest preferences rather than actual results. We are all familiar with the fact that opinion polls have built in margins of error that can be significant, and results can easily be manipulated depending on the exact wording of the questions. Since guest preferences are already a component of restaurant operating profit, we would suggest that this element be turned into a minimum eligibility threshold. For example, you could require that the company generate a minimum percentage (such as 3%) annual growth in same store sales in order for executives to be eligible for some percentage (such as 25%) of their overall incentive payments.

C. Traffic Growth. Like reducing turnover, this factor is important to any restaurant chain. However, if traffic growth in restaurants is achieved by heavy discounting through coupons, “two for one” promotions or price reductions that significantly reduce average check size and profit margins, then traffic growth could be counterproductive rather than beneficial. Such discounting is a potentially dangerous practice that causes customers to wait for further discounts before returning to the restaurants, making this a factor that could unwittingly create counterproductive incentives.

D. Restaurant Operating Profit. As long as Applebee’s continues to own nearly 500 company-owned restaurants, the level of restaurant operating margins in these company-owned facilities is obviously critical to Applebee’s financial results. Even if the number of company-owned restaurants is reduced as we have suggested, this factor will still be an important driver of profitability. However, we would suggest that as a factor in computing bonus payments two changes should be made. First, we believe that a specific minimum hurdle rate should be required in order to be eligible for some portion of annual incentive targets.3 Second, we think that this factor should be based on comparative performance among the peer companies.

E. Earnings Per Share. Growth in EPS does not always result in growth in share price. Management can cause EPS to increase through use of accounting conventions and accruals even if operating margins are declining. Of course EPS is also affected heavily by share repurchases, without necessarily reflecting any performance improvement. For these and other reasons we believe that measures such as TSR, Economic Value Added (“EVA”) or free cash flow generation are superior to EPS in measuring financial performance for bonus eligibility purposes.

This is an area where performance comparisons are essential. If Applebee’s increases EPS (or TSR or EVA) but does so at a rate lower than every one of its competitors, then surely incentive compensation would not be warranted. During the past three years 93% of Applebee’s competitors had superior performance in creating shareholder wealth. If that record continues, executives should be replaced, not awarded bonuses.

By eliminating any bonus component comparing Applebee’s performance to that of its competitors, and by failing to set minimum performance targets that can be rigorously measured, the Committee appears to have made it possible for Applebee’s management to earn incentive compensation even if their performance is terrible. We hope that is not what the Committee intended, and that you will act promptly to rectify this problem. We believe in awarding incentive compensation, but we think it should be earned by meeting serious performance targets, not given out as an entitlement. Accountability for performance is essential to avoid pure waste of corporate assets.

Our Suggestions

1. There should be a moratorium on any incentive compensation for any tier one executives so long as TSR remains negative.4 Similarly, incentive compensation should be zero if the company remains in the fourth quartile of relative performance in generating TSR.

2. A large proportion of incentive compensation (such as 50-75%) should be based on relative measures of performance compared to the company’s publicly traded casual dining competitors shown on page two of this letter.5

3. Growth in average per restaurant royalty fees from franchise operations should be included as an incentive target for relevant executives (including the CEO and CFO), since franchisees represent 73% of the company’s system.

4. The level of free cash flow would be a healthy measure for some portion of incentive opportunities, especially for the CEO and CFO.

5. Minimum relative performance in generating TSR or EVA (such as being in the top 20%) should be a significant part of every executive’s target incentive eligibility. All executives should have a vital stake in the company outperforming its peers.

6. Personal use of corporate aircraft should be banned.6 Tax gross-up payments made during the last three years should be repaid to the company.

7. The Committee should retain new compensation consultants. These consultants should not have previously worked for the company, and they should not perform any other work for the company other than advising the Committee.

Compensation Committee Independence

It is a fundamental principle of healthy governance that the board’s compensation committee should be comprised entirely of directors who are independent of management, both in fact and in appearance. Indeed, Applebee’s Proxy Statement for 2006 states “[n]o current or past executive officers or employees of the Company serve on our Executive Compensation Committee.” However, one member of the Committee, Mr. Burton Sack, served as an Executive Vice President from 1994 to 1997. Prior to serving as a senior officer, Mr. Sack sold his franchises to the company for millions of dollars. Today he operates restaurants that compete with those of the company. Given these facts, we believe that Mr. Sack should resign from the Committee.

I would have preferred to write to you privately concerning these issues and our suggestions to improve the company’s practices. However, in the current circumstances our lawyers have advised us that we must publicly file this letter with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Nonetheless, we hope that you will not wait until the 2007 annual meeting before addressing the company’s compensation issues. Please don’t hesitate to call me at (203) 618-0065 at any time to discuss any of the foregoing ideas.

Sincerely,

Richard C. Breeden

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Friday, September 07, 2007

Clinton Group To Carrols Restaurant (TAST): Maybe You Shouldn't Be Public

In a 13D filing on Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: TAST), Clinton Group disclosed a 5.3% stake in the company and disclosed a letter to the company saying they believe the market has misunderstood the story and growth prospects since the IPO pricing last year. The firm said the stock trades at an astonishing discount to its peer group.
The firm also offered to help the company explore more broad based strategic alternatives including a return to a delisted private company. They also said they would consider an appointment to the Company's board of directors.

A Copy of the Letter:

Attention: Alan Vituli
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Dear Mr. Vituli:
We appreciate the open dialogue that we have had with you and your managementteam as we have endeavored to conduct due diligence on Carrols Restaurant Group,Inc. ("Carrols" or the "Company"). We are confident that your management teamhas the extensive restaurant industry experience necessary to be stewards ofCarrols in its growth initiatives and multi-brand positioning. As of today,funds and accounts managed by Clinton Group Inc. ("Clinton") beneficially ownapproximately 5.3% of the outstanding shares.

We have invested in a substantial portion of your common stock because webelieve that the market has misunderstood the Company's story and growthprospects since your IPO pricing last year. While the name "Carrols RestaurantGroup" does not immediately conjure up a clear brand identity, we have beenimpressed with our channel checks and food sampling at your Taco Cabana andPollo Tropical restaurants. Further, we agree with the strategy of harvestingthe cash flow of your leading Burger King franchise system to invest in newstore development of your Hispanic brands at industry-leading returns oninvested capital. Carrols' quick-service concepts offering convenience, value,and significant food quality should be defensible even in a difficult consumerdiscretionary environment.

As the chart below indicates, we note that Carrols appears to trade at anastonishing discount to its peer group. Also, as you are aware, the restaurantindustry has been active with regards to M&A, and our work shows that impliedmultiples of recent deals are in the range of 7.4x to 10.2x EBITDA whichincludes some change in control premium. Based on street estimates, we estimateCarrols' valuation multiple to be a depressed 7.0x 2007E EBITDA.

TAST Comparable Companies Precedent Range
-------- ----------------------- --------------------
2007 EBITDA 7.0x 7.9x -- 20.5x 7.4x -- 10.2x

Range of 2007E EBITDA Multiples
----------------------------------------------
7.50x 8.00x 8.50x 9.00x 9.50x 10.00x

Implied Carrols Stock Price $13.46 $15.38 $17.27 $19.15 $21.03 $22.91
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------

Selected comparable publicly traded companies include:
TEV / 2007E
Company Ticker EBITDA
----------------------------------------------- ------------

AFC Enterprises Inc. AFCE 9.7x
Burger King Corporation BKC 9.7x
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. CMG 20.5x
Dominos Pizza Inc. DPZ 11.0x
Jack in the Box Inc. JBX 7.9x
McDonald's Corp. MCD 10.3x
Panera Bread Co. PNRA 9.0x
Tim Hortons Inc. THI 13.0x
Wendy's International Inc. WEN 10.5x
Yum! Brands Inc. YUM 10.0x

Selected comparable precedent transactions include:

Target Acquiror Date EBITDA
------------------ ------------------------------------------ ------- ---------

Friendly's Sun Capital 06/07 7.4x
Johnny Rockets RedZone Capital 02/07 10.2x
Sbarro MidOcean Partners 11/06 7.5x
Cheddar's Catterton Partners/Oak Investment Partners 08/06 9.6x
Bravo BRS & Castle Harlan 06/06 9.1x
El Pollo Loco Trimaran Capital Partners 09/05 9.4x
Taco Bueno Palladium Equity 06/05 8.0x
Church's Chicken Crescent Capital 11/04 7.4x


We have a long-term view regarding our investment in Carrols and would like tocontinue to offer ourselves as a sounding board in your considerations to buildshareholder value. In the future absence of multiple enhancement and stock priceappreciation, we would be happy to help you explore more broad based strategicalternatives including a return to a delisted private company or would consideran appointment to the Company's board of directors.

Please feel free to contact me at your convenience at (212) 739-xxxx. We lookforward to speaking with you soon.

Sincerely,
Joseph De Perio
Vice President

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Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Hedge Fund D. E. Shaw Urges Investment Technology Group (ITG) To Pursue a Possible Sale

In a 13D filing on Investment Technology Group Inc. (NYSE: ITG) this morning, hedge fund D. E. Shaw disclosed a 6.2% stake and disclosed a letter to the company saying, the time is right for the Board to evaluate strategic alternatives to realize shareholder value, including a sale of some or all of ITG’s businesses to a strategic or financial buyer. The firm said if a sale process fails to yield an appropriate price, the Board should institute an aggressive share buyback program.

In its letter, D.E. Shaw said, "We believe that strategic acquirors, including numerous large financial institutions and exchanges, would be very interested in ITG because of the significant synergies they could realize from the integration of ITG’s trading products and technologies into their current businesses. While some of these institutions would be interested in acquiring all of ITG, others may be interested in acquiring certain parts of the business (i.e., order management system, execution management system, algorithmic trading products, and / or crossing systems). These institutions could also realize significant cost savings from placing their current trading volumes onto the acquired ITG end-to-end trading platforms, which include pre-trade analytics, trading products and services, and post-trade analysis.

The firm also said, "Additionally, given the strong leveraged buyout and credit markets and the track record of private equity investments in this sector (including an investment by two private equity firms in Liquidnet and one private equity firm in BNY ConvergEx), we believe that numerous financial acquirors would be interested in pursuing a going-private transaction with ITG. Notably, as a private company, ITG could take on incremental leverage and would have the ability to invest in longer-term future expansion without being penalized by the market today."
A Copy of the Letter:
Dear Mr. Gasser,
As you may know, D. E. Shaw Laminar Portfolios, L.L.C. and certain of its affiliates (collectively, “we” or the “D. E. Shaw group”) beneficially own approximately 6.2% of the outstanding shares of Investment Technology Group, Inc. (“ITG” or the “Company”).
We appreciate you and your management team taking the time to discuss the Company and its prospects with us. Despite the outstanding efforts of ITG’s management, which have enabled the business to grow and thrive in an ever-dynamic industry, we believe the current share price of ITG fails to reflect the true fair value of the Company’s global trading products and platforms.
Over the past 12 months, relevant equity market volumes have increased more than 40% and the Company’s revenues are up 34%, yet ITG’s share price has declined 17%(1). Over the same period, key equity market indices and the stock prices of related companies have increased: (i) the S&P 500 Index has increased 20%; (ii) Nasdaq stock (ticker: NDAQ) has increased 22%; and (iii) NYSE stock (ticker: NYX) has increased 36%. As a result, at current market prices, which imply a valuation of 6.9x EBITDA, 7.7x EBIT and 12.9x EPS(2), the market is valuing ITG at a 30-40% discount to the average valuation of comparable companies. This valuation gap persists despite ITG’s continued strong growth prospects and defensible competitive position in a growing market volume environment.
TABLE
This valuation discrepancy is partly attributable to a suboptimal capital structure -- specifically ITG’s maintaining a net cash position equal to 10% of its market capitalization. This net cash position depresses ITG’s ROE, which is currently 15% vs. comparable companies in the mid-to-high 20% range. This cash could be used for highly accretive share buybacks, which would yield far higher returns than what the Company earns on its cash balances. Incremental share buybacks funded with modest leverage would also be highly accretive to ITG’s earnings. Overall, we estimate that ITG could increase net debt by $600 million(1) to $450 million, using balance sheet cash of $250 million and adding incremental debt of $350 million at a cost of 4.2% post-tax (7.0% pre-tax). These proceeds should be used to repurchase ITG stock, which currently trades at a 7.6% free cash flow yield. Assuming a 10% average buyback premium, a $600 million share buyback would boost earnings per share in 2008 by approximately 25%, from $2.79(2) to $3.42, and would retire approximately 30% of the Company’s current shares outstanding. A buyback of this magnitude would reduce excess balance sheet capital and increase ITG’s ROE dramatically from 15% to 45%.
The valuation gap also persists because of ITG’s investments, particularly the Company’s efforts to expand internationally. We strongly support management’s long-term strategic outlook and enthusiastically endorse its investments in new products, asset classes and geographies. We are confident these investments will enrich shareholders longer-term. That said, they are pressuring near-term operating margins, causing year-on-year declines in each of the past two quarters. In the fourth quarter of 2006, despite year-on-year revenue growth of 37%, ITG’s operating margins declined over 200 basis points. Similarly, in the most recent quarter, ITG’s operating margins declined over 150 basis points year-on-year despite revenue growth of 16%. During your most recent conference call and in our meetings, you mentioned that investments in self-clearing in the U.S. as well as several infrastructure-related investments for international expansion negatively impacted ITG’s margins. Without this investment spending, you mentioned that ITG’s margins would have increased year-on-year.
To be clear, we are not by any means suggesting that management abandon its long-term view and cease making investments in long-term growth opportunities. That said, it is incumbent on the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) to take actions to reduce the gap between ITG’s stagnant share price and the fair value of its business. In the current market environment, characterized by abundant liquidity in the credit and equity markets (which will not last forever), we have seen countless examples of strategic and financial buyers paying far higher prices than the public markets are willing to pay for long-term investment opportunities. Based on the high regard in which ITG is held among its counterparties, competitors, and other industry participants, we expect that there is no shortage of buyers interested in the Company and its assets.
Accordingly, the time is right for the Board to evaluate strategic alternatives to realize shareholder value, including a sale of some or all of ITG’s businesses to a strategic or financial buyer. If such a process fails to yield an appropriate price, the Board should institute an aggressive share buyback program along the lines set forth above.
We believe that strategic acquirors, including numerous large financial institutions and exchanges, would be very interested in ITG because of the significant synergies they could realize from the integration of ITG’s trading products and technologies into their current businesses. While some of these institutions would be interested in acquiring all of ITG, others may be interested in acquiring certain parts of the business (i.e., order management system, execution management system, algorithmic trading products, and / or crossing systems). These institutions could also realize significant cost savings from placing their current trading volumes onto the acquired ITG end-to-end trading platforms, which include pre-trade analytics, trading products and services, and post-trade analysis.
Additionally, given the strong leveraged buyout and credit markets and the track record of private equity investments in this sector (including an investment by two private equity firms in Liquidnet and one private equity firm in BNY ConvergEx), we believe that numerous financial acquirors would be interested in pursuing a going-private transaction with ITG. Notably, as a private company, ITG could take on incremental leverage and would have the ability to invest in longer-term future expansion without being penalized by the market today.
A merger between ITG and another industry participant could also yield material synergies. Potential merger partners include other large participants in the off-exchange global trading marketplace. Highlighted merger synergies include (i) rationalizing transaction, telecom, and data processing expenses, (ii) meaningfully reducing compensation expense, and (iii) consolidating redundant corporate overhead and back office functions and locations. We estimate the total cost synergies from this type of combination to be at least $75 million, representing an approximate 35% increase in the EBIT contributed from ITG or an approximate 950 basis points increase in the EBIT margin contributed from ITG (37% vs. 28%) to a merger partner. Importantly, these cost savings could be achieved while retaining most, if not all, of the existing revenues of each stand-alone company. The increased scale and profitability of the pro forma merged company would create an even more formidable player relative to the exchanges and other companies in this industry.
The underperformance of ITG’s stock price and its low valuation, in spite of its outstanding business and management performance in a thriving industry gives us little confidence that ITG shares will appreciate to fair value in a timely manner if the Company chooses to remain as a stand-alone public company with its current capital structure. Further, we are confident that the alternatives discussed could unlock significant value for ITG shareholders.
We urge ITG’s Board of Directors to conduct a thorough evaluation of all strategic alternatives available to the Company and are happy to meet with management or the Board at their respective convenience to discuss the foregoing. Thank you in advance for your continued efforts on behalf of ITG shareholders. We look forward to further discussions.
Sincerely,
Scott Henkin
Marc Sole
Mony Rueven

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Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Chapman Capital Discloses 7.4% Stake in Building Materials (BLG), Urges Sale

In a 13D filing after the close Friday on Building Materials Holding (NYSE: BLG), Chapman Capital disclosed a 7.4% stake in the company and recommended the company engage financial advisors to explore the complete or divisional sale of the Company.

Chapman Capital's Robert L. Chapman, Jr. said, "Having recently made personal contact with BMHC’s peers and leveraged consolidators of the building supply industry, I can convey an extremely high level of interest from both private equity and strategic building supply players in the acquisition of the Company."
Chapman concluded, "it was with much appreciation that Chapman Capital has become familiar with you and other senior management of BMHC. Moreover, I was gratified to discover during our meeting earlier this week the tight compatibility between Chapman Capital’s strategic goals for the Company and those of you, Mr. Smartt and apparently BMHC’s Board. The stock market is ascribing virtually no value to SelectBuild, making it imperative that BMHC management and the Board rectify this deficiency both via operating margin improvement and subsequent change-of-control premium offered for BMHC or its divisions by financial or strategic acquirers. Given Lehman Brothers’ current engagement to maximize the value of HD Supply, we strongly recommend that the Board engage it or an equally qualified advisor to begin discussions with prospective acquirers in earnest."
A Copy of the Letter:
Dear Mr. Mellor (and the BMHC Board of Directors):
Chap-Cap Partners II and Chap-Cap Activist Partners (the “Chapman Funds”), advised by Chapman Capital L.L.C., own approximately 2.2 million common shares, or just over 7.4%, of Building Materials Holding Corporation (“BMHC”, the “Company”). To put this ownership stake (the “Chapman Ownership Stake”) into perspective, the Chapman Funds’ financial interest in BMHC now exceeds that of the entirety of BMHC’s management and Board of Directors (“the Board”; together, the “Insiders”) by a nearly four-to-one ratio.11 At the risk of implying that this statistic on its own is not reason for concern, even more disconcerting is our estimation that nearly 100% of the Insider Stake was granted free of cost to the Insiders, and is residual of the exercise-and-sale of free stock option grants that have flooded your personal coffers with millions of dollars in the last six months alone.12 This followed Mr. Mellor being San Francisco’s own “$6 Million Man” in 2006, with his total compensation coming in at a whopping $6,236,182.13 The balance of BMHC’s senior management team also seems to have a disconnect between stock ownership and compensation, with Chief Financial Officer William M. Smartt hitting $2,201,114 in 2006 total compensation despite his mere 20,000 BMHC share ownership, SelectBuild CEO Michael D. Mahre stacking up $2,696,251 despite his small 22,000 BMHC share stake, BMC West CEO Stanley M. Wilson adding $2,199,728 despite his 45,234 BMHC shareholding, and General Counsel Paul S. Street accumulating $1,676,489 despite 82,944 of BMHC share ownership.14
Despite this asymmetry, it is our sincere intention for this initial written communication with you and the balance of the Board to be considered amicable and productive, rather than invective or, as past activist targets have claimed, viscerally scurrilous. Uncharacteristically, Chapman Capital is not taking this approach because May flowers have intoxicated me with unalloyed happiness or inexplicable tolerance for excessive “agency issues” in BMHC’s corporate governance. Instead, our behavior is the direct response to your responsible, accountable, fiduciary-duty cognizant reception to Chapman Capital’s initial accosting of, and ensuing dialog with, you and Mr. Smartt. In fact, you could provide a public service by calling and educating the corporate cretins in respective management and director positions at Entertainment Distribution Company/EDCI (Clarke H. Bailey - (212) 333-8478; and James M. Caparro - (917) 974-4061), Vitesse Semiconductor (James A. (Hole)/Cole - (805) 497-3222) and FSI International (Donald S. Mitchell - (858) 759-7783; and Benno G. Sand - (612) 840-5702). Hopefully, this letter will be viewed as yet another in a steady stream of constructive communications, the aim of which is to remedy the undervaluation of BMHC due in large part to its bloated cost structure and depressed operating margins within its SelectBuild construction services division (“SelectBuild”).
Nobody can blame BMHC’s management team for the steep correction of the U.S. homebuilding market, though the Board’s granting you generous financial rewards during its 2004-2006 boom years should not be ignored. Boom or bust, shallow or deep, the ups and downs of the homebuilding industry unfortunately are out your control (as compared to the self-inflicted shareholder immolation of the EDC/Vitesse/FSI miscreants named above). Auspiciously, sales of new homes rose 16% last month as homebuilder price concessions enticed buyers with a shot at median home prices down nearly 11%.15 Thus, it appears that the clearance of excess regional home inventory (the creation of which benefited BMHC by essentially pulling revenues from 2007-2008 into prior years) can be catalyzed with “couponing” and other marketing techniques designed to capitalize on the elastic nature of your customers’ newly built homes.
Though stipulating that homebuilding cycles are beyond BMHC’s control, corporate and divisional overhead can be restrained by a realistic, practical management team. In a market where U.S. single family building permits (the industry’s standard 30-day leading indicator) are falling nearly 30% year/year,16 BMHC must take drastic action to rationalize its expense base to fit today’s reduced base level of homebuilding. This is especially true given that BMHC’s outsized exposure to boom/bust markets (such as San Diego and Phoenix) have experienced single family building permit declines approaching 40% in recent months.17 Simply stated, intense focus is required immediately on SG&A expense reduction in Mike Mahre’s SelectBuild division in order to navigate effectively this cyclical downturn. Moreover, in order to regain a more favorable public market valuation, BMHC must demonstrate that it can stabilize operating margins and cash flow despite prospectively sustained weak housing conditions. SelectBuild has invested an estimated $700 million into 17 acquisitions and five greenfield operations over the past five years;18 accordingly, there is no reason that its estimated real-time $1.3-1.4 billion in revenues should not receive a minimum valuation of 50% of such sales,19 which happens to coincide with its $700 million “cost basis.”
Chapman Capital, on behalf of what it believes is a significant percentage of BMHC’s owners, strongly recommends that the Company engage financial advisors to explore the complete or divisional sale of the Company. The building materials sector arguably is in the third or fourth inning of a consolidation wave, somewhat akin to where SelectBuild’s primary customers, the national homebuilders, found themselves a decade ago. To proclaim that the $400 billion building supply sector is undergoing consolidation would be a masterpiece of understatement. HD Supply, Home Depot, Inc.’s professional building supply subsidiary that a) in 2006 engaged in M&A estimated at $4.4 billion20 spread over one dozen targets,21 and b) is in the final stages of being consolidated itself for an estimated $9-11 billion.22 Even Masco Corporation, the $12 billion (in market capitalization and revenues) manufacturer and marketer of home improvement and building products, recently exhibited appreciation for the advantages of vertical integration within the building materials supply chain.23 Having recently made personal contact with BMHC’s peers and leveraged consolidators of the building supply industry, I can convey an extremely high level of interest from both private equity24 and strategic building supply players in the acquisition of the Company. Chapman Capital recognizes the unique value of BMHC’s assets, the years and efforts required to assemble and integrate them. As a result, we are not encouraging an inopportune, undervalued sale, but instead a methodical auction timed to consummate into the inevitable cyclical recovery.
In conclusion, it was with much appreciation that Chapman Capital has become familiar with you and other senior management of BMHC. Moreover, I was gratified to discover during our meeting earlier this week the tight compatibility between Chapman Capital’s strategic goals for the Company and those of you, Mr. Smartt and apparently BMHC’s Board. The stock market is ascribing virtually no value to SelectBuild, making it imperative that BMHC management and the Board rectify this deficiency both via operating margin improvement and subsequent change-of-control premium offered for BMHC or its divisions by financial or strategic acquirers. Given Lehman Brothers’ current engagement to maximize the value of HD Supply, we strongly recommend that the Board engage it or an equally qualified advisor to begin discussions with prospective acquirers in earnest.
Sincerely,
Robert L. Chapman, Jr.
Footnotes:
1 Robert E. Mellor ownership stake: precisely 254,370 (vs.154,354 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement. Total outstanding share count of 29,170,793 as of March 7, 2007.
2 Sara L. Beckman ownership stake: precisely 18,653 (vs. 16,890 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
3 Eric S. Belsky ownership stake: precisely 1,519 (vs. 0 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
4 James K. Jennings, Jr. ownership stake: precisely 17,100 (vs. 15,600 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
5 Norman J. Metcalfe ownership stake: precisely 7,519 (vs. 3,000 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
6 David M. Moffett ownership stake: precisely 1,500 (vs. 0 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
7 R. Scott Morrison, Jr. ownership stake: precisely 26,700 (vs. 24,200 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
8 Peter S. O’Neill ownership stake: precisely 41,996 (vs. 40,180 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
9 Richard G. Reiten ownership stake: precisely 32,809 (vs. 28,454 year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
10 Norman R. Walker ownership stake: precisely 0 (vs. NA year/year) shares per BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
11 The Chapman Funds owned 2,189,239 as of May 24, 2007 vs. “the Insider Stake” of 572,344 shares (or 2% of the shares outstanding) owned by BMHC management and the Board as of March 7, 2007 (Source: BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement, dated April 2, 2007).
12 Mr. Mellor sold 71,491 and 28,509 BMHC shares at approximately $26/share November 17-21, 2007 for a total of $2,605,393.
13 Source: BMHC 2007 Proxy Statement.
14 Ibid.
15 The U.S. Census Bureau reported that sales of newly constructed homes rose 16.2% in April 2007 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 981,000 homes, the largest monthly gain in 14 years.
16 U.S. single family building permits declined 28% in March 2007 (over 2006 levels) to an annual pace of 1.1 million.
17 BMHC’s regional markets experienced a single family building permit decline of 37% (vs. a 31% national rate decline) in the three months ending February 2007.
18 SelectBuild transaction highlights include the following (Target Revenue/Acquisition Price/Acquisition Date): 27% interest in Riggs Plumbing (N/A, $10.5MM, 3/28/2007), Willis Roof Consulting ($90.0MM, N/A, 06/30/06), Davis Brothers ($110.0MM, $43.3MM, 8/1/2006), Azteca (N/A, $1.5MM, 4/1/2006), Boulder's West (N/A, $6.7MM, 4/1/2006), Benedeti Construction ($145.0MM, N/A, 1/11/2006), MWB Building Contractors ($80.0MM, $57.1MM, 1/11/2006), 20% stake in WBC Construction (N/A, $31.4MM, 1/1/2006), HnR Framing & Home Building Components ($140.0MM, $72.6MM, 10/18/2005), Campbell Companies ($200.0MM, $85.6MM, 8/31/2005), Gypsum Construction (N/A, $5.9MM, 9/1/2005), 20% stake in WBC Construction (N/A, $24.8MM, 8/1/2005), 51% interest in BBP Companies ($100.0MM, $10.4MM, 7/1/2005), 73% interest in Riggs Plumbing (N/A, $19.2MM, 4/19/2005), 51% interest in RCI Construction (N/A, $4.9MM, 1/27/2005), 51% Interest in A-1 Building Components (N/A, $2.3MM, 9/1/2004), 49% interest in KBI Norcal (N/A, $14.0MM, 8/9/2004), 67% Interest in WBC Mid-Atlantic (N/A, $5.1MM, 10/1/2003), BMC West (N/A, $5.1MM, 6/1/2006), 60% stake in WBC Construction (N/A, $24.0 MM, 1/1/2003), and 51% interest in KBI Norcal (N/A, $7.1MM, 6/24/2002).
19 Valuation Assumptions (Chapman Capital research): 14-20% (cycle trough-peak) gross margins reduced by 6-10% (cycle peak-trough) SG&A loads, capitalized at 16-17% ROI.
20 HD Supply doubled in size with its $3.5 billion acquisition of Hughes Supply Inc. in January 2006.
21 HD Supply reportedly has expended approximately $8 billion buying the estimated 39 companies in its composition, in an effort to leverage Home Depot’s $70 billion supply chain.
22 Home Depot reportedly has retained Lehman Brothers, Inc. to conduct a strategic review of HD Supply, including its sale in part or entirety.
23 Masco acquired on May 1, 2007, Erickson Construction Company (turnkey framer) and Guy Evans, Inc. (millwork, interior and exterior door, window and bath hardware installer) for an estimated .8-1.0 times a combined $200 million in anticipated 2007 revenues, roughly in line with the valuation placed on Masco 2001 acquisition BSI Holdings. In 2002, Masco acquired Service Partners LLC (insulation installer) and other smaller businesses for $1.2 billion.
24 Leonard Green & Partners, L.P. reportedly gained 2.5 times its $88 million investment for a 60% stake in White Cap Construction Supply Inc. upon its acquisition by Home Depot in 2004; Warburg Pincus, LLC and its affiliate JLL Partners are the private equity backers to Builders FirstSource, Inc. (Nasdaq: BLDR), having a 50% combined ownership stake as of March 27, 2007.

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